Tensions have sharply escalated in Yemen after airstrikes carried out by the Saudi-backed coalition on positions held by the Southern Transitional Council STC in Hadramaut, amid an open struggle for control in the south of the country—from Hadramaut to al-Mahra—alongside the closure of Aden airport and accusations of an air blockade. The rift between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi is now out in the open, as former allies clash over territory, ports and military bases.
This escalation intersects with broader regional shifts after the Gaza war, a struggle over maritime corridors in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandeb, and the role of the Houthis (Ansarallah) as a significant military and political force observing the scene and preparing to impose their own terms. Major questions are being raised about the future of Yemen’s unity, the project of a southern state, the limits of Saudi and Emirati influence, and whether the country is being dragged into another long war with no clear diplomatic horizon.
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